Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến luơc Forex Phiên Âu 13/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3690.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.369 with 1.383 & 1.3875 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.369 will call for 1.3615 & 1.357.

Comment: the pair stands within a bullish channel and remains on the upside.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5690.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.569 with 1.58 & 1.5855 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.569 will call for a slide towards 1.565 & 1.561.

Comment: the pair is pulling back on its support ahead of further up move.

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USD/JPY intraday: caution.
Pivot: 76.95.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 76.95 with targets @ 77.2 & 77.4.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 76.95 will open the way to 76.75 & 76.5.

Comment: the pair is challenging its new support, caution.

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AUD/USD intraday: limited upside.
Pivot: 1.01

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.01 with targets @ 1.026 & 1.0315 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.01 look for further downside with 1.002 & 0.9975 as targets.

Comment: the pair is challenging its bullish channel resistance.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1655.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1655 with targets @ 1692 & 1715.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1655 will open the way to 1640 & 1630.

Comment: the price remains in a bullish channel.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 84.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 84 with 85.65 & 86.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84 will call for a slide towards 82 & 81.5.

Comment: a support base at 84 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

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